September 30th, 2008

BREAKING NEWS: Grumpy Grampa Ushers Scamp of a Daughter Into Katie Couric’s Office So She Can Say Her Sorries

by Philip Baruth

You almost begin to suspect that the McCain camp is composed of hardcore masochists, the sort who take a certain perverse delight in their own pain and humiliation. Palin’s interview was bad enough along these lines, you’d think, given that it resulted in bipartisan calls for the Alaska Governor to exit the GOP ticket. (”Cringe-worthy,” of course, being the adjective of choice for editorial writers.) But no. Johnny Mac and his handlers wanted more. That’s right.

So in order to clean up a small gaffe Palin made campaigning at a cheese-steak stand, McCain accompanies his self-declared soul-mate back to Couric’s studio, and sits like a grumpy grampa as she repeats her safety-security mantra.

Now, we know there are folks out there who think that Palin is qualified to be Vice President, so let’s put that burning question to one side, and ask another directly related to it: Can anyone imagine Obama doing this odd visit-to-the-Principal routine with Biden? Holding his hand during a Katie Couric interview like this, while he’s asked if he’s sorry for what he said?

Or Reagan with Bush the Elder? Or Clinton with Gore?

Anyone who thinks that McCain and his handlers are pioneers for the rights of Woman might want to think again. They’re treating her like a seventeen-year-old Princess who happens, through a run of bad luck, to have inherited one of two keys to the Throne.

The interview footage is here, and it’s painful stuff, truly. Palin recants her agreement with Obama on Pakistan policy, and there’s a rote quality to the lines that seems to indicate she spent the previous night under house arrest, drilling the answers.

Don’t forget to watch McCain’s reactions: the twitchy jaw, the eye pops, the strained body language. This guy is in purgatory, my friends.

September 30th, 2008

Obama’s Aggression Problem: People Act As Though He Hasn’t Given It Any Thought

by Philip Baruth

Common wisdom is usually an oxymoron: if it’s common, it’s usually scratch-’n-dent wisdom, at the best. And no wisdom is more common, and less wise, than the idea that Barack Obama would do himself a world of good if he would only dial up the aggression. In short: no, he wouldn’t, and pundits who continue to harp on this idea only reveal their own mainstream cultural insularity. And lack of imagination.

Let’s begin at the end. Obama faced off against John McCain on Friday night, the culmination of a long week of erratic mood swings by the Arizona Senator. The upshot of that head-to-head meeting was crystal clear, far clearer than these post mortems usually manage: every poll taken showed that Obama had helped himself significantly, with nearly every demographic.

Obama’s tracking numbers doubled. Prominent Conservatives, folks like George Will and Dick Morris and Charles Krauthammer, grudgingly gave the win to Obama.

Now, it may seem like pointing out the obvious, but in order to put the Obama-lacks-punch meme to rest, it’s unfortunately necessary: when you debate, or campaign, you want your numbers to go up, not down.

Just so we’re clear on that. Obama did what one wants a candidate to do Friday night. He made himself the preferable choice.

So anyone who says that Obama could have “closed the deal” or “knocked McCain out” by upping his level of aggression is mad. And not just mad, but blind to the history of this campaign: at every single stage of the long, two-year game, Obama has been criticized for lacking aggression.

And yet he has advanced at each stage, made voters like him, settled any lingering uneasiness, moved forward smoothly and without great fanfare.

When he was part of a three-candidate field, and neck and neck with Edwards behind Hillary, the conventional wisdom was that he needed to punch his way clear of them.

Maureen Dowd captured this meme in her mocking nickname, “Obambi.”

And that image has delighted Conservatives, for whom it extends to a general critique of supposed Democratic softness on security issues.

Then it was Obama versus Hillary, and everyone exhorted Obama to hit harder, to pound her into withdrawing from the race.

Then, after he’d secured the Democratic nomination, Obama faced attacks from John McCain on his so-called celebrity status, and ads that linked Obama with Paris Hilton and Britney Spears.

Get mad, James Carville said. Use the meat-cleaver that Bill Clinton liked to talk about back in the day.

And here we are in October. Obama is up by 6-9 points in the daily tracking polls; he’s breaking open the electoral map.

Can someone, somewhere, some time or other, please consider the possibility that an African American man growing up in America might have some small idea about how hard he can hit without actually hurting himself?

Take a look at the photo at the top of this post again. Barack Obama has spent his life negotiating not just predominantly White American culture, but predominantly Asian cultures, and predominantly Black American cultures.

His success and his identity are inseparable from his ability to guage how hard he can push, without provoking backlash, without accentuating his own difference, without bringing out the worst in those around him.

He has not succeeded brilliantly thus far in spite of his “Think Thrice Before Striking” attitude, but because of it. Anyone who thinks it an accident that Obama has gone where no other African American man has gone before simply isn’t thinking.

It’s not that Obama has adopted passivity as a political or social stance. Far from it. His campaign has counter-attacked, and their attacks have had real bite. But when Obama does hit back, it is almost always after a consensus has developed that he’s justified in doing so. Hillary’s campaign came off looking mean and occasionally thuggish as a result; McCain’s campaign has gone even further down the same road.

Obama has developed an almost preternaturally accurate sense of how to avoid the stereotypes that continue to dog African American men in the twenty-first century, and it is typified in his strategy.

So again, if anyone in America is qualified to say precisely how hard Barack Obama can hit without hurting himself, that man is Barack Obama.

When his numbers slide dramatically, and his prospects for the White House go dim, then we’ll be willing to listen to armchair quarterbacking from white suburban pundits and politicians, those who’d like to see a little more blood sport and who can’t be troubled to do their homework.

Until then, not so much.

September 26th, 2008

What Do Laura and Carly Have In Common? An Inability to Lie about Sarah

by Philip Baruth

I’ve been having some nice back-and-forth this morning with a couple of Republican VDB-readers, who’ve been gamely arguing that Sarah Palin really is sort of qualified for the job of Vice President. And the argument is fun to have: it isn’t every subject in this election where you feel like you’re tossing your rocks downhill, while your opponents are having to heave theirs up as best they can.

But a couple of things bear mentioning. First, the mere fact that the debate about experience persists, and looks to persist until Election Day, and continues to draw in Conservatives who finally can’t sign off on the Palin pick, that fact alone demonstrates the diminishing returns on McCain’s investment.

After a flurry of interest, and a quick flare of pride that the GOP had finally managed to put a woman on a national ticket, Sarah Palin has boiled down to an earnest discussion about sheer basic competence, not exactly a fight Republicans need to be having post-Bush.

But something else struck me, as I went over the various arguments and counter-arguments in my mind: the only two McCain or Bush surrogates to address Palin’s lack of experience head-on, without any desperate spin or delusional fabrication, have been women.

Two, to be exact. Carly Fiorina, ex-CEO of Hewlett-Packard, and Laura Bush, former librarian and wife of George W. Bush.

Famously, Fiorina was asked point blank whether Sarah Palin was capable of running a major company like Hewlett-Packard. It’s striking to listen to the tape of the radio exchange. There’s an instant in which Fiorina considers the question, considers a dodge, and then simply states the truth, point blank:

“No, I don’t,” responded Fiorina. “But you know what? That’s not what she’s running for.”

Sure, Fiorina tries to walk it back just a bit, but the implications there are even worse: that something complex and important Palin couldn’t run, but she’ll do just fine with something simple and risk-free like the Vice Presidency.

But what’s worth focusing on is the way that Fiorina considers spinning, temporizing, hedging, and then simply can’t. Because she knows how hard she, Fiorina, had to work at Hewlett-Packard, and she wouldn’t let Palin within a mile of a CEO’s chair.

Take another look at that photo at the top of this post. Fiorina was given to understand that she was on the short list for the Vice Presidency herself; she was flying around on McCain’s jet, speaking as his surrogate, and was no doubt encouraged to think she might be the out of the box pick this time out.

She wasn’t, of course, and that may have something to do with her notable directness when asked about Palin’s qualifications. But one thing is certain: Fiorina was hustled off the stage very quickly after that response, very quickly indeed.

The second highly-placed Bush/McCain woman to speak truth, simply and without fanfare, was Laura Bush.

Asked by CNN’s Zain Verjee if she thought Palin’s resume included sufficient foreign policy experience, Bush said, “Of course she doesn’t have that.”

“You know, that’s not been her role,” she continued, “But I think she is a very quick study, and fortunately John McCain does have that sort of experience.”

How refreshing: no furious up-is-downism, no references to islands off the coast of Alaska, just a straight-up acknowledgment of the obvious, with a nicely executed pivot to make the exchange a wash, which is, of course, the best the McCain folk can hope for on the Palin experience question.

But again, why is it the women in this equation who are simply not going to gussy up Palin’s CV? In this case, no doubt Laura Bush believes, with good cause, that she, Laura Bush, is more qualified than Sarah Palin when it comes to foreign policy experience.

In that sense, it’s the same as the Fiorina questioning. In both cases, a highly placed and highly acclaimed woman is asked whether Palin is qualified, not to be Vice President in the abstract, but specifically to do what they themselves do. Laura Bush visits other countries all the time, works with various world leaders and their staffs, and has at various points tried gingerly to nudge her husband on certain foreign policy issues, most notably the situation in Burma.

So when she’s asked point blank, Do you think Palin could do what you do, right now, with no further training, Laura Bush says not just no, but “of course not.”

And of course not is, of course, the correct answer.

The First Lady and the ex-CEO are willing to spin, in other words, unless it’s about what’s closest their own hearts: their work, their achievements, their own merit.

Do I expect this post to change the minds of my Republican friends on the question of Palin’s fitness? Not for an instant. Do I expect them to email me twice as many times tomorrow? I most certainly do.

Is that a problem? Not in the least. If only everyone, of every party, would spend tomorrow emailing about it.

September 26th, 2008

Maverick Sarah Palin Reforms Existing National Borders: Russia and Canada Now “In the State That I Am The Executive Of”

by Philip Baruth

Don’t want to belabor this, especially as we agreed to rise above politics and suspend irony until the bailout goes through, or at least until dinner time, but it’s really too good to pass up. Katie Couric bores in on Sarah Palin’s much-mocked claim to foreign policy experience via proximity with Russia, which she’s never visited:

COURIC: Explain to me why that enhances your foreign policy credentials.

PALIN: Well, it certainly does because our– our next door neighbors are foreign countries. They’re in the state that I am the executive of. And there in Russia–

COURIC: Have you ever been involved with any negotiations, for example, with the Russians?

PALIN: We have trade missions back and forth. We– we do– it’s very important when you consider even national security issues with Russia as Putin rears his head and comes into the air space of the United States of America, where– where do they go? It’s Alaska. It’s just right over the border. It is– from Alaska that we send those out to make sure that an eye is being kept on this very powerful nation, Russia, because they are right there. They are right next to– to our state.

They’re in the state that I am the executive of. Highly reassuring, you’ve gotta think, for those who thought Johnny Mac went off half-cocked with this pick.

September 24th, 2008

Canadians Love Us For Our Obama

by Philip Baruth

More Canadian lunacy. It’s not enough they’ve taken their dollar to parity with ours. Now they want Obama too. Apparently the Democrat’s poll numbers are higher than any living Canadian candidate. Quel Homme! the t-shirts say. Well, VDB has one word for the Great White North: Never. Never in hell, Paul Martin!

(And yes, we realize that Paul Martin is no longer Prime Minister of Canada. We weren’t cursing that Paul Martin. We were cursing this Paul Martin. Just so we have our Paul Martins straight.)

September 24th, 2008

McCain Intensifies Spat With Media, Who, When Spat Upon, Often Tend to Spit Back

by Philip Baruth

Fascinating day, for those who enjoy Team McCain’s tendency to shoot out the tires on their own bus. After a week widely derided as off-message and off-beat, McCain/Palin were facing a press pool no doubt inclined to pummel Obama for a change. Biden did his part by supplying a few dainty fresh-baked gaffes. But the McCainiacs would have none of it: they were intent on engaging the press in a fight to the death.

First, Palin’s handlers barred print media from her much-touted visit to the UN to meet unspecified international greybeards. The idea was that they’d allow in the network cameras, but no words to accompany the pictures.

Which might have worked, except that CNN caught a glimpse of the “Kick Me” sign on their collective backs and pitched a hissy. Expect all coverage of the Palin UN event to lead-in or play-out with coverage of the media stand-off.

And for his part, Johnny Mac did his best to stiff-arm the press as well, but in the YouTube age that’s tougher and tougher: you wind up with footage of McCain looking tight-lipped, as a frustrated reporter asks, “Has your bus become the No-Talk Express?”

Not exactly the frame you’d want dominant in the minds of the working press, heading into the three most crucial debates of the campaign, you wouldn’t think.

Roll tape above.

September 22nd, 2008

Lame Ducks Can Still Steal Real Good

by Philip Baruth

And people say that Bush has lost his mojo. Buried in the weeds of the Treasury Secretary’s demand for $700 billion in Wall Street bailout we find this little gem, a power grab with all the panache of Administration attempts to put Iraq up for no-bid contract: “Decisions by the Secretary pursuant to the authority of this Act are non-reviewable and committed to agency discretion, and may not be reviewed by any court of law or any administrative agency.” Lame ducks can’t fly, but Lordy, they can steal.

bush, rose garden

September 22nd, 2008

Acronym-Fest: VDB on VTBlogosphereTV

by Philip Baruth

Like all Great Ideas, Michael Abadi’s was a simple one: leverage the resources of existing community television against the growing reach of the Vermont blogosphere. The result was VTBlogosphereTV, and the episode we taped together has several points in its favor. First, Bill Simmon manned the cameras; second, the production values are correspondingly high; and third, we put to rest the notion that blogs are parasites feeding off traditional new outlets (except at the few buffets we’ve been able to crash). A chunk from the middle of the interview embedded below:

September 22nd, 2008


by Philip Baruth

How Vermont. Just when you think that the Vermont Yankee problem defies human solution, because opponents face an out-of-state corporate monolith wealthy and powerful enough to mandate public opinion, WCAX releases a set of fairly eye-popping poll numbers. You guessed it: a rock-solid majority favor shutting the damn thing down, nearly twice the number who oppose the idea.

vermont yankee

And a solid two-thirds of those polled said a) they were either “concerned” or “very concerned” about safety issues with the plant; and b) they’d be willing to pay a bit more for energy if they could see the plant shuttered.

Of course the battle for public opinion is far from over.

Entergy spokesman Rob Williams released the results of an internal corporate poll, in which 650 Vermonters were asked the following questions: “If closing down Vermont Yankee meant returning to the ‘Age of Flint,’ and you could no longer refrigerate meat, and you and your spouse would need to commence a life of hunting and gathering, without benefit of either antibiotics or toilet paper, would you favor the idea? And if so, would you be willing to pay one-third of your yearly income to make decommissioning a reality?”

As far as VDB is concerned, bring on the stone and flint. And the wind, and the sun. It’s heartening to see that more than a few people around the state agree.

September 19th, 2008

The Carefree Vermont Yankee Lifestyle

by Philip Baruth

Nothing really caps a crisp fall afternoon like an absolutely thumb-fingered attempt to deny serious problems down at Vermont Yankee, does it? The safety issue du jour? What spokesbot Rob Williams refers to as “degraded” support beams in another of the cooling towers, and related leakage. Such wide-spread degradation, like “iron rot” (the cause of an earlier spectacular collapse), is not to be confused with a “safety-related” failure, of course.

But it’s funny how this whole Vermont Yankee world-view works. Safety is never at issue, never, never, never, never, regardless of what burns, or busts, or discharges into the Connecticut River. That stream of water flooding the floor of the cooling tower? Nothing to worry about.

You begin to wonder what your life would be like if your own house ran this way. Suppose you woke up and the garage was on fire, but the fire department said it wasn’t a structural issue, even though the garage was connected to the house.

Or your toilet was discharging waste and effluvium, flooding your second floor, but your neighbor told you not to worry because all houses have their issues. That’s what houses do, he says.

What if every time you looked around, your house was falling down around your ears?

not so cool

And suppose, after all these spectacular failures, you had an opportunity to sell the house in question, but your real estate agent said that selling wouldn’t be smart because another house would likely cost you more.

You’d tell all of these folks to go pound salt, and you’d buy another house anyway, paying a bit more maybe in the process, because safety comes first for your family, and fire and flood and collapse are indeed safety-related issues, no matter what anyone says to the contrary.

But not in Yankee World. Never in Yankee World.

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